How
quickly humanity draws down the greenhouse gases driving global warming
will determine whether sea levels rise half-a-metre or six times that,
even if Paris climate pact goals are fully met, researchers reported
Tuesday in a study.
"The
trajectory of emissions in the next few decades will shape our
coastlines in the centuries to come," lead author Matthias Mengel, a
scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in
Germany, told AFP.
Every five years that elapse before carbon pollution peaks will add 20 centimetres to sea level rise in 2300, the study found.
"This is the same amount we have experienced so far since the beginning of the fossil fuel economy," Mengel said by email.
The
world collectively spews about 40 billion tonnes of CO2 into the
atmosphere every year. After stalling for three years, emissions rose by
two percent in 2017, dashing hopes they had peaked.
On current trends, emissions could increase for at least another decade.
The
197-nation Paris Agreement calls for capping global warming at "well
below" two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), and pursuing
efforts to hold the line at 1.5 C.
Average global temperatures have already gone up by 1 C since the industrial revolution began.
Source: Yahoo News
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